Football Cash Generator - I just couldn’t stay away from writing about this legendary publication. Years after official release, it is still available for purchase. Nothing much has changed apart from the price - I bought it for £149, now you can get it for next to nothing - £77. But is it worth it?

I finally realized that I LOVE IT! No, seriously - not because of information contained in this book but because it was the first (as far as I’m aware) popular book covering Footie Live Betfair Trading techniques. Well, actually not techniques but 1 TECHNIQUE!

Of course, we all know what’s behind the scenes - Lay Draw before game starts, Back it as soon as goal is scored for guaranteed profit. Very simple, isn’t it?

In theory YES, but when you start implement this idea on every Live Footie game on Betfair, soon you’ll be in deep trouble! Because Football Cash Generator misses the MOST IMPORTANT factor - game selection.

You can’t make long-term profit if you just Lay Draw on every game and hope that goal will be scored within first 20-30 minutes. The key to success with this system is to “hand-pick” games to place bets on. By what criteria?

Draw Odds - firstly you have to scan draw odds for available In-Play games on Betfair. As a general rule I trade only on games with draw odds of 3.0 to 3.5 Why? Because if you choose games with draw odds of say 5.0, your Lay Bet liability will be very high (you need bigger bank for probably the same profit margins). And with high priced Draws you can expect that price will decrease dramatically if goal isn’t scored within first 20-30 minutes. Most of the time price goes down so much that even when (if) goal is scored - you can’t get out of trade with profit.

Also - if Draw Odds are high, for example - 5.0, probably there is a clear favorite and under-dog in this game. And if under-dog scores first - you’re f***ed up!

Team Odds - you should look for games where both teams are in the same price range, with difference NO MORE than 0.5 (for example Team A @ 3.2 and Team B @ 3.4). This way - no matter which team scores first, Draw price will increase!!! Because there isn’t any clear favorite or under-dog, both teams have similar chances winning the game.

Statistics - I hate statistics! But for these kind of trading techniques you simply can’t make long-term profit without studying team statistics. You can get great free info from Ladbrokes Stats Centre.

So what we’re looking for? Carefully study BOTH teams last 20 games statistics:

• Popular Scores
• Total Goals Per Game
• Time Of 1st Goal (very important!)
• Average Goals Scored

Also look for past game statistics when particular teams played against each other.

Your goal should be to find a game with Draw Odds of 3.0-3.5 for teams with great scoring statistics (a lot of early goals, average goals per game 3.0 etc).

This way we can effictevely filter most profitable games for “Lay Draw-Wait For Goal-Back Draw” strategy. It’s a good idea to take insurance bet (back 0-0) in the beginning. But this will reduce your profit margins. I rarely use insurance bet because I choose games VERY CAREFULLY by studying past results and statistics.

Of course I know that just by studying STATISTICS I can’t predict how particular game will end ( It even doesn’t matter for this system) . But what I can see is - playing style for each team.

It’s a good idea to look into daily newspaper - what footie experts say about upcoming game, their predictions and comments.

And remember - even with this strategy - you can’t win every time! There will be loses sometimes but in long-term you’ll make healthy profit!

To Your Freedom,

Andy Minalto
Online Betting Expert
Founder, BookieClub.com

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This entry was posted on Tuesday, July 3rd, 2007 at 9:46 am and is filed under Betting Systems. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.